Subscriptions
RSS
Odds on Favorites
Tomorrow is the 80th annual Academy Award ceremonies. Unlike the last several years, this year promises to be much more exciting and competitive than previous years. If you still have to email in you picks for you office pool take a look at what the gamblers have to say about tomorrow night’s favorites.
According to 1800-sports.com (click to see the live odds) the favorites haven’t changed. A bet against Javier Bardem and Daniel Day Lewisis a sucker bet. But there is also zero pay out in taking these favorites. Same goes for Best Picture favorite No Country For Old Men.
However, if you wanted to get creative and your going to be betting in more than your office pool, these are the non favorites I might take a look at, given the cost/reward ratio.
Best Picture - Juno 11/2
This film has a lot of steam. There is the possibility that the fight between No Country and its closest competition, There Will Be Blood, may cancel each other out. Opening the way for the little comedy that could.
Best Director - Paul Thomas Anderson - 7/2
This is not a very far of a stretch. However, body of work says this is the Coens’ award.
Best Actor - Johny Depp - 10/1
I suppose this is possible, people do like him. But I wouldn’t even bother.
Best Actress - Ellen Paige - 11/2
Remember the momentum. This should be Christie’s statue, but Ellen is quickly turning into the Hollywood “it” girl.
Best Supporting Actor - Casey Affleck - 10/1
This is another where I wouldn’t even bother. However, the Academy does like to honor body of work, and Affleck’s was huge this year.
Best Supporting Actress - Ruby Dee - 5/2
I wouldn’t touch this one either. The odds certainly don’t justify it. Though Blanchette is the favorite, this could easily be a five horse race. My only thinking is the academy likes to have an upset, and many times that upset goes to a last chance aging actor. Remember Alan Arkin last year?
Remember I am no guru. If you bet on the Oscars then you probably have a problem. Don’t blame it on me when you lose.
Last 5 posts by Chris
- Rose is Rose is a Man! - November 14th, 2008
- Faith in Fringe - November 14th, 2008
- Sounding Presidential - November 3rd, 2008
- First Look at Lost's 5th Season - October 25th, 2008
- Becoming Fanatical - October 23rd, 2008
Comments
4 Responses to “Odds on Favorites”
Leave a Reply
Cool article. You know how bad I am at betting, so every little bit helps.
If Johnny Depp wins Best Actor for simply changing his hair color and attempting to sing, I swear I will burn Hollywood down.
I would too. If he wins for than and never even got nominated for ED WOOD then the world has something seriously wrong with it.
I totally lost my pool. Just so you know.
My bad!